Record-Breaking Sales & Transactions
The second quarter of 2025 saw Dubai's real estate sector achieve unprecedented performance. The total value of property sales reached an all-time high of AED 184 billion, marking a remarkable 49% year-on-year increase. Transaction volumes also surged, with over 53,118 sales recorded, a 22.8% increase from the same period last year. This historic momentum underscores Dubai's position as a global safe haven for investment and a top choice for lifestyle and long-term residency.
Off-Plan Dominance: The off-plan market was the primary engine of growth, accounting for a significant 66% of all sales by both value and volume. This trend is driven by investor confidence in Dubai's future growth and attractive payment plans offered by developers.
Ready Market Surge: The ready property market also saw a significant surge, with transactions increasing by 33% year-on-year. This growth is largely attributed to a shift from renting to owning, as residents seek to lock in long-term value amid rising rental prices.
Property Price & Rental Trends
Property prices continued their upward trajectory in Q2 2025, reaching new all-time highs.
Average Prices: The average price per square foot hit AED 1,607, an increase of 6.1% year-on-year. The average property price across the market now stands at AED 1.63 million.
Villas vs. Apartments: The villa and townhouse segment continued to be the top performer, with prices rising at a faster rate than apartments. Villa prices saw a significant year-on-year increase of 28.7%, driven by sustained demand from families and high-net-worth individuals. Apartment prices, while also growing, saw a more moderate annual increase of 19.1%.
Rental Market Moderation: While rental growth has been a key driver of the sales market, a new trend of moderation is emerging. Overall rental prices increased by a more manageable 6.2% year-on-year, with villa rents up by 4.8% and apartment rents by 7.2%. This slight slowdown in rental growth is a welcome sign for tenants and is largely influenced by the anticipated influx of new supply.
What's Next: Market Forecast for Late 2025 and 2026
The outlook for the remainder of 2025 and into 2026 remains optimistic, but with some notable shifts on the horizon.
Supply Influx: A significant wave of new residential units is expected to be delivered in the second half of 2025 and 2026. This surge in supply, with over 66,000 new units projected for 2025 alone, may lead to a more balanced market and could put some downward pressure on prices and rental hikes, particularly in non-prime areas.
Focus on Affordability: The increase in new supply is likely to benefit middle-income buyers and renters, offering them more choices and potentially better negotiating power. This trend aligns with government initiatives aimed at making homeownership more accessible.
Continued Investor Confidence: Dubai's reputation as a stable and attractive investment destination is expected to continue attracting foreign capital. The city's visionary leadership, progressive policies, and economic diversification will sustain demand, particularly for luxury and high-quality assets. The mortgage market is also showing strong growth, with transactions up by 48.3% year-on-year, indicating robust end-user confidence.
In conclusion, Dubai's real estate market has shown unprecedented strength in Q2 2025. While prices have reached new peaks, the forecast of increased supply suggests a potential cooling period, offering a more balanced environment for both buyers and renters in the near future.